{"id":16890,"date":"2026-03-25T04:13:50","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T10:43:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/?p=16890"},"modified":"2026-03-25T04:13:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T10:43:50","slug":"sp-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/","title":{"rendered":"S&amp;P Global Revises India\u2019s GDP Growth Forecast to 7.1% for FY27, Flags Inflation Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_87 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\"><\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/#Growth_Outlook_Strengthens_Across_Forecast_Horizon\" >Growth Outlook Strengthens Across Forecast Horizon<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/#RBI_Likely_to_Maintain_Neutral_Policy_Stance\" >RBI Likely to Maintain Neutral Policy Stance<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/#Rising_Crude_Oil_Prices_Pose_Inflation_Risks\" >Rising Crude Oil Prices Pose Inflation Risks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/#Moodys_Flags_Downside_Risks_from_Global_Tensions\" >Moody\u2019s Flags Downside Risks from Global Tensions<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/#Conclusion\" >Conclusion<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<div class=\"yoast-breadcrumbs\"><span><span><a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/\">Home<\/a><\/span> \u00bb <span><a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/latest-news\/\">News<\/a><\/span> \u00bb <span class=\"breadcrumb_last\" aria-current=\"page\"><strong>S&amp;P Global Revises India\u2019s GDP Growth Forecast to 7.1% for FY27, Flags Inflation Risks<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P Global has raised India\u2019s GDP growth forecast for FY27 by 40 basis points to <strong>7.1%<\/strong>, reflecting steady economic performance despite global uncertainties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The ratings agency also upgraded its medium-term projections, increasing FY28 growth to <strong>7.2%<\/strong> and FY29 to <strong>7.0%, both<\/strong> by 20 basic points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Growth_Outlook_Strengthens_Across_Forecast_Horizon\"><\/span>Growth Outlook Strengthens Across Forecast Horizon<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The upward revision reflects continued resilience in the Indian economy, supported by domestic demand and ongoing investment activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The revised projections suggest that India\u2019s growth trajectory remains stable even as global conditions remain uncertain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"RBI_Likely_to_Maintain_Neutral_Policy_Stance\"><\/span>RBI Likely to Maintain Neutral Policy Stance<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the monetary policy front, S&amp;P Global expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to keep interest rates unchanged in the near term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The central bank is likely to maintain a neutral stance, balancing growth with inflation control as economic conditions evolve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rising_Crude_Oil_Prices_Pose_Inflation_Risks\"><\/span>Rising Crude Oil Prices Pose Inflation Risks<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite the improved growth outlook, S&amp;P highlighted risks from rising fuel prices. Elevated crude oil levels could push inflation higher, with consumer price inflation projected to rise to 4.3% in FY27, up from 2.5% in FY26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Moodys_Flags_Downside_Risks_from_Global_Tensions\"><\/span>Moody\u2019s Flags Downside Risks from Global Tensions<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Separately, Moody\u2019s Analytics warned that India could face a sharper economic impact if geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report noted that India is among the more vulnerable economies in the Asia-Pacific region due to its reliance on oil and gas imports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A prolonged rise in energy prices could affect multiple areas, including inflation, trade balances and domestic demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">India\u2019s dependence on energy imports, particularly from Gulf nations, increases its exposure to global supply disruptions. Any sustained increase in fuel costs could widen the trade deficit and put pressure on consumption and economic activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span>Conclusion<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P Global\u2019s upward revision underscores confidence in India\u2019s growth outlook, with projections indicating steady expansion over the medium term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, rising crude oil prices and global uncertainties remain key factors that could influence inflation and overall economic stability in the coming years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Source:<\/strong> https:\/\/www.moneycontrol.com\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#d79b30\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Disclaimer<\/mark>: This content is for education and awareness purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation. Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&amp;P Global has raised India\u2019s GDP growth forecast for FY27 by 40 basis points to 7.1%, reflecting steady economic performance despite global uncertainties. The ratings agency also upgraded its medium-term projections, increasing FY28 growth to 7.2% and FY29 to 7.0%, both by 20 basic points. Growth Outlook Strengthens Across Forecast Horizon The upward revision reflects &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/shoonya.com\/blog\/sp-global\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;S&amp;P Global Revises India\u2019s GDP Growth Forecast to 7.1% for FY27, Flags Inflation Risks&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":16892,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[1082],"tags":[7359,9587,5023,9584,9585,9583,9586],"class_list":["post-16890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","tag-gdp-growth-forecast","tag-india-economic-growth-outlook","tag-india-economy","tag-india-gdp-forecast","tag-india-gdp-forecast-2027","tag-sp-global","tag-sp-global-india-gdp-forecast"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>S&amp;P Global Raises India\u2019s GDP Forecast to 7.1% for FY27<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"S&amp;P Global raises India&#039;s FY27 GDP forecast to 7.1%, 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